Flat Base Methodology | ||
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The Flat Base is recognized by William O'Neil as 'another rewarding price structure' (How to Make Money in Stocks 3rd Edition P. 133). O'Neil describes it as "usually a second-stage base that occurs after a stock has advanced 20% or more off a cup with handle, saucer with handle or double bottom". In fact, the flat base can form at any time during a stock's progress, whether it is trending upwards (sometimes called a Rectangle Top) or trending downwards (Rectangle Bottom). Breakouts from a flat base to the upside are strongly bullish, while breakouts to the downside are bearish. |
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Pattern Recognition |
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A flat base is a pattern in which a stock's price moves sideways while moving within a trading range marked by overhead resistance and support. The resistance and support lines must be touched at least twice over a period of several weeks, and there should be some alternation between the points where resistance and support are touched. Volume is not an important feature in the recognition of the pattern, but will play an important role when the pattern breakouts out or breaks down. A 'Rectangle Top' is one in which the intermediate term trend is upwards before the flat base forms. A 'Rectangle Bottom' is one in which the intermediate term trend is downwards before the flat base forms. So that there is no confusion between a flat base and the handle of a cup with handle pattern, we screen first for a cup with handle pattern and then assign stocks to the flat base watchlist if they are not already on the cup with handle list. |
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Rectangle Tops |
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Definitions and
the values required for inclusion in BreakoutWatch. |
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Term | Definition | Required Value |
Upward Trend |
The intermediate term price trend of the stock price
is upwards |
Positive slope to 200 day moving average. |
Latest Close |
The price at which the stock last closed |
$6.00 and average daily volume of 30,000. |
Overhead Resistance |
The uppermost intraday high reached before reversing |
N/A |
Support |
The lowest intraday low reached before reversing |
N/A |
Trading Range |
The difference between the Overhead Resistance and
Support levels |
> 3% and <=10% of the Overhead Resistance price.
The 3% minimum range is designed to exclude merger/takeover candidates |
Tolerance |
The stock is considered to touch the Overhead Resistance
or Support lines if it is within the tolerance percent before reversing. |
1% |
Resistance Touch |
The intraday high is within tolerance of the Overhead
Resistance line |
Minimum of 2 |
Support Touch |
The intraday low is within tolerance of the Support
level |
Minimum of 2 |
Base Length |
The length of the pattern measured backwards from the
last close. |
At least 25 days. there is no maximum, but there must
have been at least the required number of touches within the last 60
days. |
Breakout |
The stock rises above the Overhead Resistance level
on strong volume |
Alert issued if intraday price is 1% above Overhead
Resistance on projected 1.5 times volume. |
Breakdown |
The stock rises drops below the Support
level on strong volume |
N/A |
Rectangle Bottoms |
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Definitions and the values required
for inclusion in BreakoutWatch. |
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All terms and definitions are as above, except that the trend will have been downwards for the last 200 days. |
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Chart Selector Tool |
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Our Chart Selector Tool allows you to search
for flat bases which have other characteristics than those used as the
default values for inclusion in BreakoutWatch. For example, you can search
for flat bases with shorter base lengths or wider trading ranges. |