Weekly Newsletter 04/10/09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Weekly Commentary | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The markets completed their fifth successive week of gains despite some profit taking on Monday and Tuesday. The impetus that put the rally back on track was an earnings surprise from Wells Fargo which earned a record $3 billion in the first quarter compared to $2 billion in the first quarter a year ago. With many companies issuing low guidance for the first quarter, expectations are low so it is possible that we will see a number of earnings surprises that could continue to give the current rally life. The industry sector with the most potential to deliver surprises is finance which has been one of the most beaten down. Since March 9, XLF, the ETF which tracks the S&P financial sector has almost doubled in price from a low of $5.88 to close on Thursday at $10.63. A glance at the XLF chart would appear to indicate that the Financial sector has already made its run and is verging on reaching an overbought level, as indicated by the Stochastic RSI, or the Bollinger Bands. In fact, I think this is a case where the technical indicators may be misleading us and there is still potential for more appreciation in this sector as earnings season progresses. To find potential breakouts from this sector, see this weeks tip. The pullback at the start of the week created many two day handles with 170 stocks appearing on our cup-with-handle watchlist on Tuesday night. Thursday's rally led to 43 breakout attempts with 11 confirmed. Of these, 4 were from the finance group. Discover Financial Services (DFS) gained a healthy 17.5%. By Thursday's close breakouts had made an average gain of 6.5%, almost three times the gain of the S&P 500. Another group that will benefit from the new emphasis on electronic medical records implementation will be the Healthcare Information Systems industry. QSII, the leader in that group also broke out on Thursday. To allow our subscribers to catch breakouts from promising industry groups we have added a new tool that allows setting up personal watchlists by industry group. This is described below. |
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New Features this Week | Additional Value that we added this week | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Export Industry Components from Industry Browser This addition allows you to export symbol lists from the Industry Browser. The list can then be copied to the clipboard and used to make, for example Personal Watchlists. A new icon, , has been added to the industry browser, Clicking the icon pops-up a small window containing the symbols in the industry sector or group chosen. The pop-up window contains instructions on how to copy the list to the clipboard. This example shows exporting the symbols in the Healthcare Information Systems industry group. |
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This Week's Top Tip | Tips for getting the most out of our site | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Creating a Personal Watchlist from Industry Components If you want to be alerted when a stock from a particular industry sector or group breaks out, then you can do so as follows:
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Market Summary | Overview of market direction and industry rotation | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Weekly Breakout Report | How confirmed breakouts performed this week | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high. 3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close. |
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Top Breakout Choices | Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Top Second Chances | Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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