Weekly Newsletter 06/25/10
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You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.
Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  
My eldest boy was playing in a soccer competition today so little time to prepare a market commentary. While the kids are out of school there always seems to be a distraction.

I note that First Quarter GDP was revised downwards as consumer spending was less than previously thought providing further evidence that this a very weak recovery with the risk of a double-dip increasing.

The so called "reform" of the financial system leaves much to be desired. Here's an assessment from Barry Ritholz

Grading Financial Regulatory Reform
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

MTC Filter

We have added the ability to filter our cup-with-handle watchlist for stocks that are rated "MTC" (Meets Target Criteria). You can also limit your cup-with-handle alerts tp just stocks that are rated "MTC".
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

Apply Filters to Your Watchlists and Watchlist Alerts

We have created a short video tutorial that explains how to apply filters to watchlists, use th backtest option andapply the filters to your alerts. The video is available here:


How to Use Watchlist Filters
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 10143.8 -2.94% -2.73% Up
NASDAQ 2223.48 -3.74% -2.01% Down
S&P 500 1076.76 -3.65% -3.44% Up
Russell 2000 645.11 -3.27% 1.74% Down
Wilshire 5000 11253.3 -3.57% -2.12% Up
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones
-2.94 %		 Russell 2000
-4.99 %		 Russell 2000
1.79 %		 Russell 2000
1.74 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Specialty Eateries Specialty Eateries Toy & Hobby Stores Housewares & Accessories
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Aluminum
+ 54		 Aluminum
+ 99		 Long Distance Carriers
+ 213		 Long Distance Carriers
+ 210
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Weekly Breakout Report How confirmed breakouts performed this week
# of Breakouts
Period Average1
Max. Gain During Period2
Gain at Period Close3
This Week 10 9.08 5.03% 1.38%
Last Week 5 10.77 5.54% -1.3%
13 Weeks 140 11.08 12.89%
 -6.12%
1The average number of breakouts in each week over the previous 13 weeks.
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high.
3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. 113
Top Technical GRNB Green Bankshares, Inc. 61
Top Fundamental MED Medifast Inc. 73
Top Tech. & Fund. LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. 52
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall BELM Bell Microproducts Inc 82
Top Technical BELM Bell Microproducts Inc 82
Top Fundamental EPHC Epoch Holding Corporation 73
Top Tech. & Fund. EPHC Epoch Holding Corporation 73
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.
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