Weekly Newsletter 11/25/11
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Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

It was a grim week with the best performing index, the S&P 500, losing 4.7%. Things are getting worse in Europe with even Germany under pressure after a bond auction failed to generate enough buyers. The downturn is therefore likely to continue and we expect the NASDAQ to test support at 2300.

NASDAQ Composite

To brighten the mood, I enjoyed this QOTD on the Big Picture: "I wish there was a knob on the TV to turn up the intelligence. There's a knob called 'brightness,' but it doesn't work." -Gallagher

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Best wishes for a safe and happy Thanksgiving - Mike & Jo Gibbons
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

No new features this week.
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site
 
No tip this week.
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 11231.8 -4.78% -2.99% Down
NASDAQ 2441.51 -5.09% -7.97% Up
S&P 500 1158.67 -4.69% -7.87% Down
Russell 2000 666.16 -7.4% -14.99% Up
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
S&P 500
-4.69 %		 Dow Jones
-0.47 %		 Dow Jones
-9.72 %		 Dow Jones
-2.99 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Specialty Eateries Specialty Eateries Personal Computers Personal Computers
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Confectioners
+ 27		 Tobacco Products - Other
+ 77		 Toy & Hobby Stores
+ 206		 Toy & Hobby Stores
+ 183
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Weekly Breakout Report How confirmed breakouts performed this week
# of Breakouts
Period Average1
Max. Gain During Period2
Gain at Period Close3
This Week 8 18.23 1.47% -0.65%
Last Week 14 18 5.26% -4.71%
13 Weeks 243 18.85 8.59%
 -6.25%
1The average number of breakouts in each week over the previous 13 weeks.
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high.
3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall FSM Fortuna Silver Mines Inc Ordinary Shares (Canada)& 120
Top Technical SWTX Southwall Technologies, Inc.  66
Top Fundamental MELI MercadoLibre, Inc.  44
Top Tech. & Fund. MELI MercadoLibre, Inc.  44
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall MFM MFS Municipal Income Trust  70
Top Technical MUE Blackrock Muniholdings Insured Fund II  43
Top Fundamental HAIN The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.  47
Top Tech. & Fund. HAIN The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.  47
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.
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