Weekly Newsletter 12/22/12
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You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.
Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  
 We wish all our subscribers and newsletter readers a safe and merry Christmas.

Our trend indicators for the DJI and S&P 500 have turned negative while the NASDAQ indicator stubbornly remains positive. But with the congress on vacation, Friday's downturn and a shortened trading week ahead, this is unlikely to last. Note also that the 50 day average has slipped below the 200 day which is a further bearish sign. This remains a market for traders only until the 'fiscal cliff' outcome is known.

NASDAQ Composite

We are on vacation until January 2, 2013.
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week
No new features this week.
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

Using Filters to Ensure only Targeted Alerts

A common question from new subscribers is how can they limit the number and type of alerts they receive.

The type of alerts you will receive are controlled from the Alert Preferences menu under Take Action - Alerts!. Here you can choose to receive Long position alerts, short position alerts, both or neither.

If you choose to receive alerts for long positions, then you can further refine your selection to restrict alerts by watchlist filters and/or your personal watchlist(s).

Alert Preferences

That will set your alert preferences at the macro level. To limit alerts further you need to go to the individual long position watchlists and set parameters by which to limit the alerts from each list. 

Note that the filter settings can be "Active on this watchlist" which is a toggle used to filter the list or not.

When you have the filter settings you want you can save them, and finally you can make them active or not.

filters
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 13190.8 0.42% 7.97% Down
NASDAQ 3021.01 1.67% 15.96% Up
S&P 500 1430.15 1.17% 13.72% Down
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Russell 2000
2.93 %		 Russell 2000
-0.89 %		 Russell 2000
9.39 %		 NASDAQ Composite
15.96 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Lumber - Wood Production Lumber - Wood Production Lumber - Wood Production Lumber - Wood Production
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Specialty Eateries
+ 44		 Drugs Wholesale
+ 114		 Music & Video Stores
+ 178		 Music & Video Stores
+ 169
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Weekly Breakout Report How confirmed breakouts performed this week
# of Breakouts
Period Average1
Max. Gain During Period2
Gain at Period Close3
This Week 26 15.08 4.19% 1.47%
Last Week 18 15 5.74% 2.7%
13 Weeks 279 17 6.19%
 0.15%
1The average number of breakouts in each week over the previous 13 weeks.
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high.
3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall RGEN Repligen Corporation 104
Top Technical RGEN Repligen Corporation 104
Top Fundamental LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. 27
Top Tech. & Fund. LOPE Grand Canyon Education Inc 49
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall SMBL Smart Balance, Inc. 77
Top Technical ICON Iconix Brand Group, Inc. 41
Top Fundamental XXIA Ixia 63
Top Tech. & Fund. XXIA Ixia 63
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.
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