Weekly Newsletter 12/13/13
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You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.
Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

The NASDAQ Composite has formed a double top. This may just be a sign of consolidation but watch for a head and shoulders top (HST) forming in the next few days. if it does, that would be bearish, particularly if the HST is confirmed when the price drops through the neck line. Meanwhile, all our market trend remain upward although two distribution days for the NASDAQ, a drop in daily volume and just 4 breakouts for the week, suggest that caution in chasing new alerts is advisable.

NASDAQ Composite
My family is arriving from Australia for the holidays so this will be the last newsletter for 2013. I wish you all a safe and happy holiday and will see you in the New Year.
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

No new features this week.
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

No tip  this week although work is continuing at a somewhat slower pace on devising a strategy built on our new squeeze indicator.
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 15755.4 -1.65% 20.23% Up
NASDAQ 4000.98 -1.51% 32.5% Up
S&P 500 1775.32 -1.65% 24.48% Up
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite
-1.51 %		 NASDAQ Composite
7.49 %		 NASDAQ Composite
16.87 %		 NASDAQ Composite
32.5 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Drugs Wholesale Toy & Hobby Stores Toy & Hobby Stores Toy & Hobby Stores
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Computers Wholesale
+ 138		 Computers Wholesale
+ 143		 Wholesale - Other
+ 196		 Medical Practitioners
+ 213
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Weekly Breakout Report How confirmed breakouts performed this week
# of Breakouts
Period Average1
Max. Gain During Period2
Gain at Period Close3
This Week 4 11 4.71% 1.5%
Last Week 7 10.92 19.99% 14.42%
13 Weeks 141 11.46 31.75%
 5.07%
1The average number of breakouts in each week over the previous 13 weeks.
2This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at its intraday high.
3This represents the return if each stock were bought at its breakout price and sold at the most recent close.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall PZZI Pizza Inn, Inc. 106
Top Technical PZZI Pizza Inn, Inc. 106
Top Fundamental MPEL Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd (ADR) 47
Top Tech. & Fund. MPEL Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd (ADR) 47
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall CSTE Caesarstone Sdot-Yam Ltd 71
Top Technical CSTE Caesarstone Sdot-Yam Ltd 71
Top Fundamental CSTE Caesarstone Sdot-Yam Ltd 71
Top Tech. & Fund. CSTE Caesarstone Sdot-Yam Ltd 71
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.
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