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subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the
breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that
does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.
|
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable
Tips of the Week are available here. |
Weekly Commentary |
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The NASDAQ Composite continued to rise and outpaced the other
major indexes this week. Although the recovery is welcome and has
delivered a dramatic increase in the number of breakouts (see
below). it is notable that volume levels for the two weeks since
the recovery began are well below the 50 day average. Friday's
distribution day came in at higher volumes than on any day since
the recovery began and is a warning that this upward move may not
last.
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Weekly
Breakout Report |
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The recently introduced "Squeeze Play" watchlist delivered the two
best performers of the week and this list also delivered the
majority of the breakouts (23 out of 33).
Breakouts for
Week Beginning 05/26/14 |
Brkout Date |
Symbol |
Base |
Squeeze |
BrkoutOut Price |
Brkout Day Close |
Last Close |
Current % off BOP |
Gain at Intraday High |
05/27/14 |
MRTX |
SQZ |
Y |
18.35 |
19.19 |
21.39 |
16.57 |
17.38 |
05/29/14 |
LNG |
SQZ |
Y |
60.63 |
62.52 |
68.11 |
12.34 |
12.34 |
05/28/14 |
MNKD |
HTF |
N |
8.08 |
8.17 |
8.9 |
10.15 |
10.15 |
05/29/14 |
CSCD |
CwH |
N |
10.90 |
11.09 |
11.97 |
9.82 |
9.82 |
05/27/14 |
CAAS |
SQZ |
Y |
8.44 |
8.9 |
8.82 |
4.50 |
8.77 |
05/28/14 |
SNN |
CwH |
N |
80.99 |
83.05 |
87.77 |
8.37 |
8.37 |
05/27/14 |
IMOS |
SQZ |
Y |
22.83 |
23.83 |
24.41 |
6.92 |
8.15 |
05/27/14 |
FSTR |
SQZ |
Y |
49.53 |
52.41 |
51.08 |
3.13 |
5.81 |
05/27/14 |
OPHT |
CwH |
N |
39.16 |
39.83 |
40.7 |
3.93 |
4.7 |
05/27/14 |
IDTI |
SQZ |
Y |
13.03 |
13.03 |
13.3 |
2.07 |
3.84 |
05/27/14 |
QLTY |
SQZ |
Y |
14.03 |
14.05 |
14.39 |
2.57 |
3.35 |
05/27/14 |
BDSI |
CwH |
Y |
9.65 |
9.66 |
9.57 |
-0.83 |
2.9 |
05/27/14 |
LCI |
SQZ |
Y |
40.68 |
41.1 |
41.78 |
2.70 |
2.7 |
05/27/14 |
MCO |
CwH |
N |
83.94 |
85.68 |
85.54 |
1.91 |
2.41 |
05/28/14 |
BRCM |
SQZ |
Y |
31.15 |
31.4 |
31.87 |
2.31 |
2.31 |
05/29/14 |
SIG |
CwH |
Y |
106.11 |
108.37 |
106.09 |
-0.02 |
2.13 |
05/27/14 |
VOYA |
SQZ |
Y |
36.43 |
37.18 |
35.8 |
-1.73 |
2.06 |
05/27/14 |
TSRA |
SQZ |
Y |
22.54 |
22.97 |
22.49 |
-0.22 |
1.91 |
05/29/14 |
REI |
SQZ |
Y |
19.15 |
19.28 |
19.36 |
1.10 |
1.83 |
05/27/14 |
AGX |
CwH |
N |
30.10 |
30.35 |
30.65 |
1.83 |
1.83 |
05/28/14 |
BDSI |
SQZ |
Y |
9.76 |
9.93 |
9.57 |
-1.95 |
1.74 |
05/29/14 |
SN |
CwH |
N |
34.50 |
35.05 |
34.43 |
-0.20 |
1.59 |
05/28/14 |
DOW |
SQZ |
Y |
51.73 |
51.77 |
52.12 |
0.75 |
1.43 |
05/29/14 |
CODE |
SQZ |
Y |
19.05 |
19.26 |
19.05 |
0.00 |
1.1 |
05/27/14 |
DAKT |
SQZ |
Y |
14.36 |
14.47 |
12.41 |
-13.58 |
0.77 |
05/29/14 |
FICO |
SQZ |
Y |
59.11 |
59.5 |
58.9 |
-0.36 |
0.66 |
05/28/14 |
WLB |
SQZ |
Y |
30.28 |
30.31 |
30.47 |
0.63 |
0.63 |
05/27/14 |
FRP |
SQZ |
Y |
14.54 |
14.62 |
14.1 |
-3.03 |
0.55 |
05/30/14 |
FC |
SQZ |
Y |
21.69 |
21.75 |
21.75 |
0.28 |
0.28 |
05/27/14 |
SFL |
SQZ |
Y |
18.63 |
18.67 |
18.52 |
-0.59 |
0.21 |
05/30/14 |
ETB |
SQZ |
Y |
16.32 |
16.33 |
16.33 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
05/27/14 |
CLMS |
SQZ |
Y |
13.18 |
13.18 |
12.45 |
-5.54 |
0 |
Weekly Average (33 breakouts) |
2.44 |
4.22 |
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New
Features this Week |
Additional Value that we added this week |
No new features this week
|
This Week's Top
Tip |
Tips for getting the most out of our site |
Webinar: Trading In-The-Money
Options from the Cup-with-Handle Watchlist
We are offering a "webinar" on how to use alerts from the
cup-in-handle watchlist to trade in-the-money options on Monday,
16th June at 6pm Mountain Time. This strategy focuses on using
alerts from the CwH watchlist that are also in a "squeeze" and
offers the promise of strong returns at low risk.
If you are interested in attending, please send
me an email and details on how to attend
the webinar will be forwarded to you in the week beginning June
9th.
|
Market Summary |
Overview of market direction and industry
rotation |
Index |
Value |
Change Week |
Change YTD |
Trend |
Dow |
16717.2 |
0.67% |
0.85% |
Up |
NASDAQ |
4242.62 |
1.36% |
1.58% |
Up |
S&P 500 |
1923.57 |
1.21% |
4.07% |
Up |
Best Performing Index
|
1 Week |
13 Weeks |
26 Weeks |
Year-to-Date |
NASDAQ Composite
1.36 % |
S&P 500
3.45 % |
S&P 500
6.52 % |
S&P 500
4.07 % |
Best Performing Industry (by
average technical score over each period)
|
1 Week |
3 Weeks |
13 Weeks |
26 Weeks |
Toy & Hobby Stores |
Toy & Hobby Stores |
Toy & Hobby Stores |
Toy & Hobby Stores |
Most Improved Industry (by
change in technical rank2)
|
Publishing - Books
+ 33 |
Movie Production - Theaters
+ 87 |
Synthetics
+ 195 |
Synthetics
+ 199 |
Charts of each
industry rank and performance over 12 months are
available on the site |
1The Market Signal is derived
from our proprietary market model. The market model is
described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on
fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on
price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
|
|
Top
Breakout Choices |
Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle
list with best expected gain if they breakout |
Category
|
Symbol
|
Company Name
|
Expected Gain1
|
Best Overall |
CHTP |
Chelsea Therapeutics International, Ltd. |
96 |
Top Technical |
CHTP |
Chelsea Therapeutics International, Ltd. |
96 |
Top Fundamental |
ENLC |
EnLink Midstream, LLC |
32 |
Top Tech. & Fund. |
ENLC |
EnLink Midstream, LLC |
32 |
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if
the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks
are published on our site. |
Top Second
Chances |
Stocks that broke out this week and are still in
buyable range |
Category
|
Symbol
|
Company Name
|
Expected Gain1
|
Best Overall |
BDSI |
BioDelivery Sciences International, Inc. |
87 |
Top Technical |
OPHT |
Ophthotech Corporation |
33 |
Top Fundamental |
AGX |
Argan, Inc. |
42 |
Top Tech. & Fund. |
AGX |
Argan, Inc. |
42 |
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model
after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as
a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the
expectation can be negative. |
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