Weekly Newsletter 10/30/15
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Market Summary Weekly Breakout Report Top Breakout Choices Top 2nd Chances New Features Tip of the Week
Prior editions of this newsletter with our valuable Tips of the Week are available here.
 Weekly Commentary  

The NASDAQ Composite gained only 0.4% for the week, but it was sufficient to more than double the S&P 500 (0.2%). For the month the NASDAQ gained 9.4%, beating the  DJI (8.5%) and the S&P 500 (8.3%).

The gains for the week were strengthened by better than expected earnings by Apple which gained 4% on Wednesday giving the index its only above average volume for the week.

A slowing economy (just 1.5% annualized in the 3rd quarter) and continued expectation of an interest rate increase in December by the Fed, is likely to hold  back gains in the near term.
NASDAQ Comp. Chart
 Weekly Breakout Report  

This was another strong week for breakouts with 7 out of 100 gaining more than 10% to their intraday high. These 7 were dominated by breakouts from a Volatility Squeeze and Head and Shoulders Bottom pattern indicating that it is  the  beaten down stocks that have the most to gain from the current market conditions.
 
Breakouts for Week Beginning 10/26/15
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze BrkoutOut Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
10/29/15 CYTK SQZ Y 7.62 8.86 93 8.61 12.99 16.27
10/28/15 ABAX HSB N 46.06 53.49 23 50.21 9.01 16.13
10/28/15 NHTC CwH N 42.88 44.00 99 49.26 14.88 14.88
10/28/15 LMAT SQZ Y 12.76 13.99 97 13.32 4.39 13.32
10/28/15 JBSS SQZ Y 57.38 60.23 96 64.72 12.79 12.79
10/30/15 VRTS HSB N 103.84 117.04 16 117.04 12.71 12.71
10/28/15 CAI HSB N 10.68 11.90 5 11.62 8.80 11.42
10/28/15 ASGN CwH N 41.23 41.47 89 45.11 9.41 9.41
10/28/15 STE DB Y 69.49 71.04 72 74.95 7.86 7.86
10/29/15 GWB CwH N 26.57 28.54 90 28.26 6.36 7.41
10/29/15 EIG CwH N 24.89 26.73 82 26.47 6.35 7.39
10/27/15 ELLI SQZ Y 70.59 72.5 95 72.98 3.39 7.1
10/26/15 OSBC SQZ Y 6.54 6.55 87 6.7 2.45 6.88
10/29/15 TGI HSB N 43.62 45.61 13 46.58 6.79 6.79
10/28/15 SXI DB N 84.20 84.47 75 89.72 6.56 6.56
10/29/15 PARR CwH N 21.90 23.16 89 22.8 4.11 5.75
10/27/15 BHLB DB N 28.31 28.97 77 28.6 1.02 5.55
10/28/15 YDKN CwH N 22.90 24.10 87 23.55 2.84 5.24
10/28/15 CBM SQZ Y 44.69 47.03 98 45.97 2.86 5.24
10/26/15 PZZA SQZ Y 70.54 72.46 89 70.17 -0.52 5.2
10/28/15 BBSI CwH N 46.75 47.86 90 48.98 4.77 4.98
10/28/15 SBCF SQZ Y 14.95 15.62 82 15.48 3.55 4.88
10/26/15 DCOM CwH N 17.55 17.68 83 17.35 -1.14 4.79
10/29/15 SGYP SQZ Y 6.34 6.63 97 6.41 1.10 4.57
10/28/15 ULTI CwH N 195.86 202.82 90 204.35 4.33 4.48
10/27/15 PLCM CwH N 13.44 13.46 81 13.78 2.53 4.46
10/29/15 ERI SQZ Y 9.48 9.82 98 9.9 4.43 4.43
10/28/15 PEGA CwH N 27.00 28.17 90 27.89 3.30 4.33
10/28/15 CIA CwH N 8.48 8.84 94 8.4 -0.94 4.25
10/28/15 TSO SQZ Y 104.59 105.28 94 106.93 2.24 4.21
10/28/15 ELLI SQZ Y 72.55 73.15 97 72.98 0.59 4.2
10/28/15 AIG CwH N 61.40 63.89 81 63.06 2.70 4.06
10/27/15 COH HSB N 30.48 31.65 32 31.2 2.36 3.84
10/29/15 MDWD CwH N 9.39 9.75 96 8.98 -4.37 3.83
10/28/15 SYBT CwH N 38.49 39.93 87 37.68 -2.10 3.74
10/28/15 EDU CwH N 26.75 26.87 93 27.51 2.84 3.66
10/28/15 MRCY CwH N 17.69 18.32 93 17.16 -3.00 3.56
10/29/15 TSO SQZ Y 105.33 108.99 93 106.93 1.52 3.47
10/28/15 LXFT SQZ Y 66.73 69.04 97 66.64 -0.13 3.46
10/30/15 FIX CwH N 30.89 31.93 98 31.93 3.37 3.37
10/29/15 ELLI SQZ Y 73.23 75.6 96 72.98 -0.34 3.24
10/28/15 BHLB SQZ Y 28.99 29.88 83 28.6 -1.35 3.07
10/28/15 CHMT CwH N 31.00 31.00 90 31.94 3.03 3.03
10/30/15 CHMT CwH N 31.00 31.94 92 31.94 3.03 3.03
10/30/15 WNC HSB Y 11.62 11.97 35 11.97 3.01 3.01
10/29/15 LMAT SQZ Y 14.04 14.46 98 13.32 -5.13 2.99
10/28/15 DCOM SQZ Y 17.86 18.39 86 17.35 -2.86 2.97
10/28/15 PVTB CwH N 41.99 43.23 89 41.83 -0.38 2.95
10/28/15 XRAY CwH N 59.15 59.27 90 60.85 2.87 2.87
10/28/15 WNC HSB N 11.64 11.67 36 11.97 2.84 2.84
10/28/15 AOS CwH N 74.70 76.42 91 76.82 2.84 2.84
10/28/15 FULT CwH N 13.43 13.80 86 13.42 -0.07 2.76
10/28/15 PGC CwH N 22.54 23.12 83 22.61 0.31 2.66
10/28/15 FPRX HTF N 32.48 33.34 98 32.15 -1.02 2.65
10/28/15 CUBI CwH N 27.38 28.09 93 27.5 0.44 2.59
10/28/15 SERV SQZ Y 34.76 35.39 87 35.65 2.56 2.56
10/28/15 LYTS CwH N 10.74 11.00 94 10.74 0.00 2.42
10/30/15 CTRP CwH N 90.78 92.97 97 92.97 2.41 2.41
10/28/15 IPGP HSB N 82.02 83.89 67 82.62 0.73 2.28
10/28/15 CFFN CwH N 12.91 13.07 81 12.98 0.54 2.25
10/28/15 BDGE CwH N 29.44 30.10 86 28.71 -2.48 2.24
10/28/15 METR CwH N 31.37 32.06 93 30.98 -1.24 2.2
10/28/15 CVG CwH N 25.73 26.29 89 25.67 -0.23 2.18
10/29/15 CVRR CwH N 21.50 21.62 85 21.96 2.14 2.14
10/30/15 FLS HSB N 45.40 46.36 26 46.36 2.11 2.11
10/28/15 PFSW CwH N 15.69 16.00 95 16.02 2.10 2.1
10/30/15 QUNR CwH N 47.61 48.57 95 48.57 2.02 2.06
10/28/15 FICO CwH N 91.47 93.35 84 92.37 0.98 2.06
10/28/15 CSGS CwH N 32.96 33.55 90 33.52 1.70 1.85
10/30/15 CVI SQZ Y 43.68 44.46 85 44.46 1.79 1.79
10/28/15 ACIW CwH N 23.96 24.36 86 23.95 -0.04 1.67
10/28/15 WAFD CwH N 25.11 25.52 88 24.94 -0.68 1.63
10/29/15 CHDN CwH N 144.48 145.98 93 146.83 1.63 1.63
10/27/15 XLNX CwH N 48.44 49.22 90 47.62 -1.69 1.61
10/28/15 FFIN CwH N 34.15 34.67 84 33.26 -2.61 1.52
10/28/15 PF SQZ Y 43.96 44.61 86 44.08 0.27 1.48
10/28/15 GD CwH N 148.80 150.78 81 148.58 -0.15 1.33
10/30/15 PMCS HTF N 11.78 11.92 98 11.92 1.19 1.19
10/28/15 WAL CwH N 36.34 36.76 91 35.75 -1.62 1.16
10/28/15 HTLF CwH N 37.87 38.31 91 36.84 -2.72 1.16
10/30/15 TKR HSB N 31.26 31.60 27 31.6 1.09 1.09
10/28/15 SSD CwH N 37.91 38.31 85 37.98 0.18 1.06
10/30/15 LPG HSB N 11.66 11.78 26 11.78 1.03 1.03
10/28/15 FBNC CwH N 18.97 19.13 82 18.53 -2.32 0.84
10/29/15 BKU SQZ Y 37.87 38.17 90 37.18 -1.82 0.79
10/30/15 DLR CwH N 73.47 73.96 83 73.96 0.67 0.67
10/28/15 QCRH CwH N 23.89 24.05 92 22.78 -4.65 0.67
10/29/15 FCB CwH N 35.58 35.82 94 35.56 -0.06 0.67
10/28/15 CBI HSB N 44.58 44.86 25 44.87 0.65 0.65
10/28/15 PSB CwH N 86.05 86.37 82 85.79 -0.30 0.64
10/28/15 CEVA CwH N 23.80 23.95 97 23.37 -1.81 0.63
10/28/15 BANR CwH Y 50.41 50.48 84 49.07 -2.66 0.61
10/28/15 GT CwH N 33.22 33.40 94 32.84 -1.14 0.54
10/29/15 BANR SQZ Y 50.49 50.72 86 49.07 -2.81 0.46
10/30/15 DATE SQZ Y 6.57 6.6 89 6.6 0.46 0.46
10/30/15 TCBK CwH N 26.25 26.36 80 26.36 0.42 0.42
10/30/15 ERI SQZ Y 9.86 9.9 99 9.9 0.41 0.41
10/30/15 TSC SQZ Y 12.46 12.49 82 12.49 0.24 0.24
10/28/15 DW CwH N 61.86 61.90 87 59.83 -3.28 0.06
10/29/15 AFAM SQZ Y 41.48 41.5 85 41.38 -0.24 0.05
Weekly Average (100 breakouts) 1.63 3.69
*RS Rank on day before breakout.

 
 New Features this Week Additional Value that we added this week

I have continued work on making the site more responsive so that it plays better on mobile devices. This week's innovation is to the "Alerts Issued Today" page. This page now consolidates now  includes informatin about the current state of each alert, which was previously only available on the "Alert Monitor". because of this consolidation, I have now dropped the alert monitor page.

Use of the page is described below.
 
This Week's Top Tip Tips for getting the most out of our site

New Breakout Alert Monitoring Features

The first time you open the new Alerts page, you will see this popup window (assuming you allow pop-ups). I suggest you read it and then click the "Don't show this explanation again" so you won't be bothered by the popup again.

About alerts page

If you are viewing the page on a phone with a 600 pixel wide view port, will see something like this. The Balloons explain how to use each feature.

Alert Help
 Market Summary Overview of market direction and industry rotation
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend
Dow 17663.5 0.1% -0.9% Up
NASDAQ 5053.75 0.44% 6.71% Up
S&P 500 2079.36 0.2% 0.99% Up
 Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite
0.44 %		 Dow Jones
-1.45 %		 NASDAQ Composite
0.97 %		 NASDAQ Composite
6.71 %
 Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Music & Video Stores Music & Video Stores Music & Video Stores Music & Video Stores
 Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Dairy Products
+ 37		 Entertainment - Diversified
+ 81		 Beverages - Brewers
+ 135		 Long Distance Carriers
+ 182
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

1The Market Signal is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
 Top Breakout Choices Stocks on our Cup-and-Handle list with best expected gain if they breakout
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall PLNR Planar Systems, Inc. 100
Top Technical PLNR Planar Systems, Inc. 100
Top Fundamental PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. 58
Top Tech. & Fund. VIMC Vimicro International Corporation 57
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model if the stock breaks out. Expected Gains for all cup-and-handle stocks are published on our site.
 Top Second Chances Stocks that broke out this week and are still in buyable range
Category
Symbol
Company Name
Expected Gain1
Best Overall CIA Citizens, Inc. 89
Top Technical MDWD MediWound Ltd. 74
Top Fundamental FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. 49
Top Tech. & Fund. FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. 49
1This is the gain predicted by our Expected Gain model after the stock has broken out which uses the volume on breakout as a predictive term. Because the model variance is +/- 38% the expectation can be negative.
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