Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 03/18/17

You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.

Contents
New Features this Week
Strategy Suggestions
Breakouts Summary
Breakouts Detail
Top Cup and Handle Chart Pattern Stocks
Breakouts Index
Major Indexes Performance
Best Performing Index
Best Performing Industry
Most Improved Industry

Weekly Commentary
A sever snowstorm in the northeast kept volumes low on the first two days of the week but volume returned on Wednesday and the index set another new all-time high on Friday as volume almost doubled the 50 day average.

Volatility Squeeze breakouts dominated the number of breakouts for the week with Clovis Oncology topping the leader board. The RS Rank of CLVS was 99 on the day before breakout which is consistent with my general advise that a high RS Rank is the most consistent guide to a strong breakout.

NASDAQ Chart

New Features this Week

No  new features this week
 
Strategy Suggestions

Our latest strategy suggestions are 
here.

Understanding the Volatility Squeeze

Next to the cup-and-handle pattern, we have found that the Volatility Squeeze (SQZ) provides the most successful breakouts. A SQZ occurs when a stocks volatility falls below its recent levels. The assumption is that sooner or later volatility will rise again and as it does, the price will rise (or fall) and so we look for a breakout as the volatility rises.

We identify a SQZ as occurring when the Bollinger Band moves inside the Keltner Channel. For a breakout to occur we require that the upper Bollinger Band move above the  upper Keltner Channel and  that momentum be positive and accelerating. The chart for CLVS illustrates this concept.

CLVS SQZ Chart

This chart was produced with our Technical Analysis chart settings of

 TA SQZ parameters

For a full explanation of the Volatility Squeeze, read our methodology page.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 03/13/17
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 8 1.05
SQZ 18 5.3
HTF 1 -9.49
HSB
0
DB 1 -9.03
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 03/13/17
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze BrkoutOut Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2017-03-14 CLVS SQZ y 60.55 67 99 71.32 17.79% 23.77%
2017-03-15 ARCO SQZ y 6.36 8 93 7.35 15.57% 24.21%
2017-03-14 KMG SQZ y 38.48 44 87 43.22 12.32% 16.35%
2017-03-13 VEEV CWH y 45.85 47 82 49.79 8.59% 8.68%
2017-03-14 WIFI SQZ y 11.83 12 84 12.78 8.03% 8.71%
2017-03-16 RNET SQZ y 19.56 20 85 20.95 7.11% 8.64%
2017-03-15 CLVS SQZ y 66.94 72 99 71.32 6.54% 11.95%
2017-03-13 LOGI SQZ y 29.58 31 95 31.47 6.39% 6.86%
2017-03-15 EDU CWH n 52.54 54 83 55.1 4.87% 5.98%
2017-03-16 YPF SQZ y 22.29 24 86 23.3 4.53% 6.86%
2017-03-15 WIFI SQZ y 12.23 13 86 12.78 4.5% 5.15%
2017-03-17 CASH SQZ y 88.26 91 90 91.35 3.5% 4.01%
2017-03-17 KS SQZ y 23.15 24 88 23.74 2.55% 3.84%
2017-03-15 DLNG SQZ y 16.96 17 88 17.32 2.12% 2.77%
2017-03-17 HBNC SQZ y 26.14 27 87 26.57 1.64% 1.95%
2017-03-17 ICUI SQZ y 156.01 158 83 158.3 1.47% 1.95%
2017-03-16 GNMK CWH n 12.66 13 93 12.79 1.03% 3%
2017-03-17 MEI CWH n 45.95 46 87 46.3 0.76% 0.87%
2017-03-16 MB CWH n 27.41 28 96 27.6 0.69% 2.7%
2017-03-17 CSFL SQZ y 26.32 26 92 26.48 0.61% 1.14%
2017-03-17 FFBC SQZ y 28.66 29 85 28.75 0.31% 0.94%
2017-03-17 PICO SQZ y 14.31 14 80 14.35 0.28% 3.42%
2017-03-17 KFY SQZ y 32.39 32 82 32.43 0.12% 0.4%
2017-03-17 NRG CWH y 18.06 18 91 18.06 0% 2.77%
2017-03-13 TEDU CWH n 18.50 19 91 18.23 -1.46% 1.62%
2017-03-15 CYTK CWH n 13.20 14 93 12.4 -6.06% 3.79%
2017-03-15 VRTV DB n 57.60 62 83 52.4 -9.03% 8.68%
2017-03-13 CALA HTF n 13.70 15 99 12.4 -9.49% 8.76%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday March 17, 2017
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
BZUN 16.20 686,271 Baozun Inc. Catalog & Mail Order Houses 95 15.21
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
>
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 20914.6
0.06% 5.83% Up
NASDAQ 5901
0.67% 9.62% Up
S&P 500 2378.25
0.24% 6.23% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the sitehere.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite NASDAQ Composite
5.4 %
Dow Jones
15.4 %
NASDAQ Composite
9.62 %
Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
General Entertainment
Regional - Southwest Banks
Basic Materials Wholesale
Regional - Southwest Banks
Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Processing Systems & Products
68
Beverages - Wineries & Distillers
91
Home Health Care
150
Long Distance Carriers
202
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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