Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 06/17/17

You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.

Contents
New Features this Week
Strategy Suggestions
Breakouts Summary
Breakouts Detail
Top Cup and Handle Chart Pattern Stocks
Breakouts Index
Major Indexes Performance
Best Performing Index
Best Performing Industry
Most Improved Industry

Weekly Commentary
Each week we consider the NASDAQ chart because we have found that most breakouts come from stocks listed in that index. This week the NASDAQ took a modest retreat with a loss of 0.22%. This was a hangover from last Friday's 1.8% loss provoked by speculation that FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google) stocks were in a bubble. Monday and Tuesday saw these stocks recover somewhat but the index moved down on Wednesday and Thursday while Friday's 'doji' candlestick showed there was still uncertainty about the future direction, although there was no uncertainty about what the markets thought about Amazon's acquisition of Whole Foods as AMZN gained 2.5% on 3.4 times average volume.

Another consistent feature of our analysis is that cup and handle pattern breakouts generally provide greater gains than breakouts from any other pattern. This is true again this week, although the average gain was bolstered by an exceptionally strong breakout from OMER. This was foreshadowed by action in the handle on the day before breakout as I show below.

NASDAQ Chart

New Features this Week
 
No new features this week. Some bugs in the new watchlist of stocks reaching New 12 Month Highs were corrected, particularly the estimated EPS column and its sorting.
 
Strategy Suggestions
Study Handle Action for Cup and Handle Pattern Likely Breakouts

The likelihood of a coming breakout can often be seen when a price and volume rise in the later stages the handle (see our tutorial Anatomy of a Cup-with-Handle Chart Pattern). The breakout of OMER was foreshadowed on Monday 6/12/17 when, after a long handle in which the price drifted down, the stock suddenly gained 11.9% on 2.5 times average volume. We issued an alert the next day at 09:45 as the price reached 17.26 (breakout price was 17.19). OMER closed on Friday 37.6% above that alert price.

OMER breakout chart
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 06/12/17
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 5 9.24
SQZ 9 0.6
HTF
0
HSB 1 6.01
DB 1 0.85
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 06/12/17
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze BrkoutOut Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2017-06-13 OMER CWH y 17.19 20 95 23.75 38.16% 46.02%
2017-06-16 FOLD CWH n 8.84 9 92 9.43 6.67% 7.24%
2017-06-15 EPZM HSB n 12.90 14 42 13.675 6.01% 12.4%
2017-06-16 IR SQZ y 89.87 92 84 92.34 2.75% 2.75%
2017-06-16 GBNK SQZ y 25.56 26 86 26.25 2.7% 2.7%
2017-06-12 HFWA SQZ y 25.51 26 81 26.1 2.31% 2.51%
2017-06-15 SPNC SQZ y 29.16 30 80 29.8 2.19% 4.6%
2017-06-16 TBPH SQZ y 36.38 37 84 36.99 1.68% 2.97%
2017-06-16 CHDN CWH n 179.75 182 83 182.45 1.5% 1.64%
2017-06-16 PH DB n 161.24 163 76 162.61 0.85% 0.86%
2017-06-16 JCAP CWH n 23.69 24 86 23.87 0.76% 0.84%
2017-06-12 MBLY SQZ y 62.31 63 94 62.7 0.63% 1.04%
2017-06-13 ESXB CWH n 8.25 8 86 8.175 -0.91% 0.61%
2017-06-12 LBAI SQZ y 20.06 20 86 19.8 -1.3% 2.69%
2017-06-12 TSC SQZ y 24.81 25 91 24.45 -1.45% 2.78%
2017-06-13 TICC SQZ y 7.33 7 80 7.03 -4.09% 1.23%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
12 Month Successful Breakout History

Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday June 16, 2017
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
CAI 22.00 201,546 CAI International - Inc. Rental & Leasing Services 98 20.95
FSTR 20.15 69,903 L.B. Foster Company Railroads 95 19.60
PNRA 314.67 831,916 Panera Bread Company Specialty Eateries 94 314.57
NORD 32.70 863,300 Nord Anglia Education - Inc. Education & Training Services 93 32.41
MOH 70.08 2,286,078 Molina Healthcare Inc Health Care Plans 92 68.79
XCRA 10.00 1,482,681 Xcerra Corporation Semiconductor Equipment & Materials 92 9.88
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
>
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 21384.3
0.53% 8.21% Up
NASDAQ 6151.76
-0.9% 14.28% Up
S&P 500 2433.15
0.06% 8.68% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the sitehere.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones NASDAQ Composite
4.25 %
NASDAQ Composite
13.14 %
NASDAQ Composite
14.28 %
Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Appliances
Appliances
Consumer Services
Consumer Services
Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Small Tools & Accessories
70
Synthetics
61
Computers Wholesale
185
Computers Wholesale
180
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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