Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 02/09/19

You are receiving this email because you are or were a BreakoutWatch.com subscriber, or have subscribed to our weekly newsletter. This newsletter summarizes the breakout events of the week and provides additional guidance that does not fit into our daily format. It is published each weekend.

Contents
New Features this Week
Strategy Suggestions
Breakouts Summary
Breakouts Detail
Top Cup and Handle Chart Pattern Stocks
Breakouts Index
Best Performing Index
Best Performing Industry
Most Improved Industry

Weekly Commentary
Cup and Handle Breakout Strength Continues;  New Strategies Under Development

The cup and handle pattern continued to dominate the number of breakouts this week with 14 out of the 22 confirmed. The average gain of 2.75% by week's close was quite strong considering the profit taking which began on Wednesday. The strongest performer, UBNT, with a 10% gain was unfortunately hard to buy as it gapped up 6.5% above the pivot on Friday.

The NASDAQ Composite gained 0.5% this week compared to last Friday's close but the chart shows buyers waning in the latter part of the week as the index failed to push through the 200 day moving average on Tuesday and Wednesday. Profit taking ensued as Britain and the EU lowered 2019 growth targets and German industrial production fell. Lower volume on Friday shows that confidence in the rally may be eroding.

NASDAQ Chart

New Features this Week

No new features this week
Strategy Suggestions
New Strategies Under Development

Following an email from a subscriber who was using the Cup and Handle backtest tool and discovered some new strategies, I am in the process of rewriting our strategy suggestions. These will be available in next weeks newsletter.

In the interim I've written a short analysis of the actual returns for 2018 and compared them to what might have been achieved. The results are:

2018 Strategy Results
2018 Strategy Results
(Revised Suggestions)
Buy on Breakout Alert
27.5% 324%
Buy on Confirmed Breakout
12.9% 51%

Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 02/04/19
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 14 2.75
SQZ 7 0.17
HTF
0
HSB
0
DB 1 -0.06
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 02/04/19
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2019-02-08 UBNT CWH n 113.10 124.53 94 124.53 10.11% 13.92%
2019-02-06 CLF CWH n 10.93 11.07 89 11.83 8.23% 12.17%
2019-02-08 EEFT CWH n 118.25 126.57 92 126.57 7.04% 9.37%
2019-02-08 IRBT SQZ y 98.05 104.17 89 104.17 6.24% 10.35%
2019-02-08 PMT CWH n 20.49 21.32 86 21.32 4.05% 4.1%
2019-02-08 RNG CWH n 97.40 100.9 95 100.9 3.59% 3.77%
2019-02-05 FIT CWH n 6.28 6.35 84 6.49 3.34% 3.66%
2019-02-07 TRNO CWH n 40.60 42.54 81 41.59 2.44% 5.17%
2019-02-08 KTOS CWH n 16.09 16.45 93 16.45 2.24% 2.27%
2019-02-06 BSX CWH n 38.38 38.77 89 39.19 2.11% 2.21%
2019-02-08 BKH CWH n 68.09 69.43 89 69.43 1.97% 3.17%
2019-02-05 HZNP CWH y 22.66 23.23 95 22.9 1.06% 6.05%
2019-02-05 GPRK SQZ y 17.29 18.38 90 17.46 0.98% 12.09%
2019-02-08 TRIP SQZ y 58.68 59.2 91 59.2 0.89% 2.13%
2019-02-05 LII SQZ y 232.49 235.07 84 233.22 0.31% 2.8%
2019-02-04 CLX DB n 155.76 158.38 82 155.66 -0.06% 3.59%
2019-02-05 SVVC SQZ y 14.24 14.93 90 14.1 -0.98% 6.88%
2019-02-04 CCJ CWH n 12.47 12.78 87 12.34 -1.04% 4.57%
2019-02-04 BSTC CWH n 68.00 68.46 95 67.22 -1.15% 3.31%
2019-02-05 ETSY SQZ y 54.75 55.44 98 53.15 -2.92% 10.65%
2019-02-05 SBH SQZ y 18.18 18.84 85 17.57 -3.36% 11.11%
2019-02-06 NIO CWH n 8.11 8.4 89 7.67 -5.43% 5.92%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday February 08, 2019
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
No stocks met our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 25106.3
0.17% 7.63% Up
NASDAQ 7298.2
0.47% 9.99% Up
S&P 500 2707.88
0.05% 8.02% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite NASDAQ Composite
-3.4 %
Dow Jones
-0.82 %
NASDAQ Composite
9.99 %
Best Performing Industry (by average technical score over each period)
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Foreign Utilities
Foreign Utilities
Foreign Utilities
Auto Parts Stores
Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Research Services
73
Music & Video Stores
215
Synthetics
212
Music & Video Stores
215
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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