Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 10/03/20

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Weekly Commentary
Major Indexes Positive for the Week and Breakouts Average 5% Gain

The major indexes all moved higher this week and our market trend signals may have turned positive were it not for Friday's declines following news that the President had tested positive for Covid19.

Briefing.com summarized the gains as follows:
 "Prior to Friday, the market had already established the week's gains, largely on technically-oriented trading activity in oversold stocks. Early in the week, cyclical stocks benefited from M&A activity, better-than-expected economic data ..., analyst upgrades, and stimulus optimism. "

NASDAQ Chart
The number of breakouts this week surged to 28 with an average gain of 5%. Top performer of the week was Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) which broke out from a High Tight Flag (HTF) formation to gain 31%. Most notable about this breakout, apart from the huge gain is that the handle fell 40% from its pivot before the breakout. Theoretically this shouldn't have appeared on or watchlist as our methodology sets a limit of 20% drop in the handle. There was a bug in the code which allowed it onto the watchlist. See New Features below for a further comment.
LAC Chart
Chart of the Week
Until Friday's all round pull back, ADPT was climbing the right side of a short handle and Thursday's volume was above average indicating traders are viewing ADPT favorably. Of course, we don't know how the market will continue to react to the current uncertainty, but ADPT is one to watch.
ADPT Chart
New Features this Week
The breakout of LAC from a deep HTF handle is the second situation like this that I have seen lately, Zoom Communications (ZM) was another. Consequently I am changing the methodology to allow an HTF handle to fall 50% and still qualify for the watchlist. However, I have added a comment on the chart for HTF patterns noting the droop % so subscribers can determine for them selves what amount of decline in the handle to accept.

Another problem with the HTF methodology was that it allowed takeover candidates to appear on the watchlist. To eliminate these I've implemented a minimum handle droop of 5%.

Strategy Suggestions
Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 09/28/20
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 5 5.73
SQZ 20 3.5
HTF 1 31.02
HSB
0
DB 2 4.91
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 09/28/20
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2020-09-30 LAC HTF n 11.22 11.39 98 14.7 31.02% 36.36%
2020-09-30 BGFV SQZ y 6.45 7.48 98 7.86 21.86% 26.67%
2020-09-29 CDNA SQZ y 34.65 36.88 86 41.78 20.58% 26.55%
2020-10-02 GDOT SQZ y 52.34 59.3 91 59.3 13.3% 14.37%
2020-09-30 CDNA SQZ y 36.89 37.94 87 41.78 13.26% 18.87%
2020-10-01 CULP SQZ y 12.43 13.48 85 13.88 11.67% 14.08%
2020-09-28 CLDX CWH n 13.43 14.98 99 14.99 11.62% 20.55%
2020-09-30 EDUC SQZ y 15.51 16.77 97 17.18 10.77% 16.05%
2020-09-29 DIOD DB n 53.50 55.15 74 57.78 8% 10.84%
2020-10-01 DECK CWH n 223.24 235.6 81 237.38 6.33% 6.82%
2020-09-30 THO SQZ y 94.27 95.26 87 99.92 5.99% 8.87%
2020-09-30 PRSC SQZ y 89.72 92.91 86 94.96 5.84% 7.18%
2020-09-29 DOOR SQZ y 96.08 97.36 90 101.64 5.79% 6.83%
2020-09-28 KTCC CWH n 9.27 9.58 95 9.77 5.39% 8.74%
2020-09-29 FTAI SQZ y 16.54 17.06 83 17.41 5.26% 8.4%
2020-10-02 APT SQZ y 15.28 16.03 92 16.03 4.91% 9.49%
2020-10-02 GBX SQZ y 30.25 31.35 83 31.35 3.64% 5.36%
2020-09-30 LHCG SQZ y 207.71 212.56 88 214.62 3.33% 4.42%
2020-09-29 APPN CWH n 63.87 66.24 86 65.79 3.01% 5.56%
2020-09-29 BYND CWH n 162.50 165.66 88 166.24 2.3% 6.26%
2020-10-01 PRSC SQZ y 92.92 94.05 87 94.96 2.2% 3.49%
2020-10-02 NGS SQZ y 8.89 9.07 86 9.07 2.02% 2.36%
2020-09-30 FTAI SQZ y 17.07 17.13 84 17.41 1.99% 5.04%
2020-10-01 AWK DB n 146.30 148.57 71 148.96 1.82% 2.51%
2020-09-29 AVNW SQZ y 20.82 22.78 90 21.11 1.39% 12.87%
2020-09-29 KNDI SQZ y 6.64 7.18 93 6.27 -5.57% 11.6%
2020-09-28 SSSS SQZ y 12.99 13 95 9.21 -29.1% 5.35%
2020-09-29 SSSS SQZ y 13.01 13.26 94 9.21 -29.21% 5.19%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday October 02, 2020
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
BLNK 11.55 12,171,759 Blink Charging Co. Specialty Retail 99 10.86
SURF 7.75 1,281,456 Surface Oncology - Inc. Biotechnology 98 6.87
SOGO 8.90 4,852,476 Sogou Inc. Internet Content & Information 96 8.89
BE 18.72 7,344,390 Bloom Energy Corporation Class A Electrical Equipment & Parts 94 15.97
ALDX 7.79 1,080,870 Aldeyra Therapeutics - Inc. Biotechnology 91 6.97
MOBL 7.06 3,074,076 MobileIron - Inc. Software - Application 88 7.05
NG 12.10 3,054,144 Novagold Resources Inc. Gold 83 11.10
ATEC 7.28 554,631 Alphatec Holdings - Inc. Medical Devices 83 6.51
SCPL 16.98 1,276,809 SciPlay Corporation Electronic Gaming & Multimedia 83 15.70
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 27682.8
1.87% -3% Down
NASDAQ 11075
1.48% 23.43% Down
S&P 500 3348.44
1.52% 3.64% Down
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones NASDAQ Composite
6.15
NASDAQ Composite
50.21
NASDAQ Composite
23.43
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Solar
Silver
Shell Companies

Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Tobacco
17
Coking Coal
74
Coking Coal
86
Copper
123
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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