Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 06/12/21

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Weekly Commentary
NASDAQ Back in Favor as Inflationary Fears Subside

The NASDAQ gained 1.9% this week while the DJI slipped 0.8% and the S&P 500 added just 0.4% but did set a new all-time high on Thursday. The NASDAQ performance was helped by Amazon (AMZN) which gained 4%. Amazon is the third highest weighted stock, representing 8.5% of the index, after Apple and Microsoft. After concerns a month ago about inflation and rising Treasury rates, the market seems to have accepted that any inflationary effects will be short lived while supply chain issues are resolved. Evidence for this is that the market took the 0.6% increase month-on-month, and 5% increase year-on-year in its stride. Notably the 10-yr yield fell ten basis points to 1.46%
NASDAQ Chart
Volatility Squeeze pattern stocks (SQZ) continue to outperform cup and handle patterns scoring the top 4 positions out of 107 breakouts this week. As a reminder, we no longer require volume to be 150% of 50 day ADV before classifying a stock as a breakout. See Is Breakout Day Volume Significant for Medium Term Success?
Chart of the Week
In view of the out-performance of Volatility Squeeze patterns currently, I've selected  Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) as this week's Chart of the Week. MARA has been in a SQZ pattern for 5 days and is showing a strong acceleration in momentum. Two successive hanging Doji's on Thursday and Friday show some hesitation in the direction of the next move, but should this breakout there is plenty of room to move higher before reaching resistance at 39.7 Although not showing a strong technical score, MARA has a fundamental score of 8.5 out of 11.

MARA Chart

New Features this Week

No new features this week
Strategy Suggestions
Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 06/07/21
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 20 2.94
SQZ 83 2.18
HTF
0
HSB
0
DB 4 -1.66
Breakouts Detail for Week Beginning 06/07/21
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2021-06-08 JAN SQZ y 7.23 8 80 8.93 23.51% 25.45%
2021-06-09 BKD SQZ y 6.89 7.3 88 8.49 23.22% 23.51%
2021-06-07 NTLA SQZ y 72.25 77.66 97 85.29 18.05% 19.11%
2021-06-07 CLNE SQZ y 9.32 10.36 95 10.8 15.88% 55.58%
2021-06-07 ORMP CWH n 12.30 13.6 98 14.17 15.2% 23.33%
2021-06-09 FATE SQZ y 79.24 82.87 89 89.75 13.26% 14.82%
2021-06-11 JAN SQZ y 8.13 8.93 86 8.93 9.84% 11.56%
2021-06-09 QFIN CWH n 36.79 39.21 97 40.35 9.68% 13.73%
2021-06-07 CDNA CWH n 83.53 87.39 89 91.25 9.24% 12.19%
2021-06-08 CLDX SQZ y 28.51 29.65 98 31.04 8.87% 8.94%
2021-06-09 ARLP SQZ y 6.56 7.2 80 7.13 8.69% 12.8%
2021-06-08 SPT CWH n 72.00 76.94 85 78.03 8.38% 10.04%
2021-06-10 FATE SQZ y 82.88 88.42 88 89.75 8.29% 9.77%
2021-06-08 SE SQZ y 256.83 264.1 89 277.69 8.12% 8.45%
2021-06-07 ANGO SQZ y 23.34 24.01 88 25.23 8.1% 10.33%
2021-06-08 HEAR CWH n 34.50 35.68 93 37.22 7.88% 9.25%
2021-06-08 FLWS SQZ y 35.33 37.84 80 37.97 7.47% 8.94%
2021-06-08 SOHOO CWH n 20.00 20.5 90 21.31 6.55% 7.5%
2021-06-07 NTRA SQZ y 97.52 102.17 87 103.88 6.52% 9.78%
2021-06-08 KODK SQZ y 8.68 11.05 85 9.24 6.45% 29.72%
2021-06-08 GNRC SQZ y 329.97 350.8 90 349.18 5.82% 7.56%
2021-06-08 GRTS SQZ y 9.55 10.05 93 10.07 5.45% 8.48%
2021-06-08 ZDGE SQZ y 14.45 15.08 99 15.23 5.4% 14.19%
2021-06-08 SIEN SQZ y 7.07 7.37 80 7.44 5.23% 8.35%
2021-06-09 UUU SQZ y 7.12 7.52 98 7.49 5.2% 11.24%
2021-06-08 SOHOB CWH n 20.43 21.45 91 21.48 5.14% 6.46%
2021-06-08 ANGO SQZ y 24.02 25.04 90 25.23 5.04% 7.2%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
CwH Stocks Likely to Close above BoP at Next Session*
Symbol Company Industry RS Rank Last Close BoP % off BoP
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. Luxury Goods 91 15.62 16.08 97.14
AVXL Anavex Life Sciences Corp. Biotechnology 97 15.5 15.99 96.94
UUU Universal Security Instruments, Inc. Security & Protection Services 99 7.49 7.92 94.57
NVAX Novavax, Inc. Biotechnology 95 209.68 214.50 97.75
PBI Pitney Bowes Inc. Business Equipment & Supplies 91 9.17 9.35 98.07
MIC Macquarie Infrastructure Corporation Airports & Air Services 86 38.94 39.14 99.49
NBR Nabors Industries Ltd. Oil & Gas Drilling 93 117.33 121.62 96.47
BNED Barnes & Noble Education, Inc Specialty Retail 97 9.52 9.73 97.84
AVNW Aviat Networks, Inc. Communication Equipment 97 38.87 39.25 99.03
HZN Horizon Global Corporation Auto Parts 92 9.91 10.14 97.73
*These stocks were selected using our price breakout model. This model correctly selected CWH stocks that met or exceeded their breakout price with 80% probability over Jan. 2019 to Nov. 2020. This does not imply that on any one day, 80% or any of the stocks selected will meet or exceed their breakout price.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday June 11, 2021
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
UUU 7.92 285,758,318 Universal Security Instruments - Inc. Security & Protection Services 99 7.49
SUNW 11.18 4,357,082 Sunworks - Inc. Solar 99 9.91
STIM 17.05 618,231 Neuronetics - Inc. Diagnostics & Research 98 15.63
RENN 12.30 2,147,483,647 Renren Inc. Auto & Truck Dealerships 97 11.29
SLS 13.35 674,476 SELLAS Life Sciences Group - Inc. Biotechnology 97 11.43
AVXL 15.99 1,387,076 Anavex Life Sciences Corp. Biotechnology 97 15.50
BNED 9.73 822,638 Barnes & Noble Education - Inc Specialty Retail 97 9.52
HIMX 14.59 6,258,562 Himax Technologies - Inc. Semiconductors 97 14.24
CLNE 14.50 19,204,572 Clean Energy Fuels Corp. Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing 97 10.80
BW 9.42 1,617,348 Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises - Inc. Specialty Industrial Machinery 96 8.50
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 34479.6
-0.8% 12.65% Up
NASDAQ 14069.4
1.85% 9.16% Up
S&P 500 4247.44
0.41% 13.08% Up
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
NASDAQ Composite S&P 500
7.71
S&P 500
15.94
S&P 500
13.08
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Industrial Distribution
Aluminum
Aluminum
Medical Distribution
Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Luxury Goods
49
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
68
Confectioners
122
Thermal Coal
144
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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