Breakoutwatch Weekly Summary 10/09/21

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Weekly Commentary
New Feature: Chart of the Day

The NASDAQ recovered from a stressful start to the week to gain just 0.1%. Thursday's gap up in response to optimism that the debt ceiling crisis was averted, at least for now, was countered by the disappointing Jobs report on Friday and underlying evidence of inflation concerns, as average hourly earnings increased by 0.6%. Supply chain issues, which include labor shortages, also contribute to rising prices.

Our trend indicators continue to be negative and while Congress remains deadlocked, supply chain shortages persist and inflation threatens to erode earnings, they are likely to remain so.

NASDAQ Chart
Chart of the Week
On Friday, there were just 28 stocks on our cup and handle watchlist indicating that there are few candidates for a breakout in the near term. Of those on the list, Charles Schwab topped the list of possible breakouts as determined by our breakout price model. The stock did close higher on Friday although volume was lower than average.

SCHWAB Chart

New Features this Week
Chart of the Day

We are now selecting the top stock on our Cup and Handle watchlist with the highest probability of breakout and identifying it as our "Chart of the Day'. This will be emailed to subscribers each day in addition to the regular daily report. The "Chart of the Day" is also accessible from the Reports menu.

Include in each mailing is the corresponding analysis of the stock using technical and fundamental criteria.

Readers can see Friday's chart by following this link

Strategy Suggestions
Our latest strategy suggestions are here.
Breakouts Summary by Watchlist for Week Beginning 10/04/21
List Breakouts Avg. Gain
CWH 14 1.41
SQZ 49 1.44
HTF 1 16.06
HSB
0
DB
0
Breakouts Gaining at Least 5% for Week Beginning 10/04/21
Brkout Date Symbol Base Squeeze Brkout Price Brkout Day Close RS Rank* Last Close Current % off BOP Gain at Intraday High
2021-10-08 AEHR HTF n 16.75 19.44 99 19.44 16.06% 19.04%
2021-10-06 MSTR SQZ y 651.02 673.81 96 708.82 8.88% 9.49%
2021-10-06 SLCT CWH n 17.96 18.35 94 19.49 8.52% 8.74%
2021-10-04 DCP SQZ y 29.14 30.26 93 31.38 7.69% 10.12%
2021-10-06 FBNC CWH n 44.50 45.21 85 47.85 7.53% 7.73%
2021-10-04 AGO SQZ y 47.54 47.65 88 50.34 5.89% 6.98%
2021-10-05 AGO SQZ y 47.66 48.39 87 50.34 5.62% 6.71%
*RS Rank on day before breakout.
CwH Stocks Likely to Close above BoP at Next Session*
Symbol Company Industry RS Rank Last Close BoP % off BoP
SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation (The) Capital Markets 89 77.34 77.96 99.2
PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp. Oil & Gas Equipment & Services 88 9.96 10.32 96.51
WBS Webster Financial Corporation Banks - Regional 85 56.5 57.08 98.98
PBCT People's United Financial, Inc. Banks - Regional 82 17.99 18.26 98.52
HAYN Haynes International, Inc. Metal Fabrication 92 38.3 39.16 97.8
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp Banks - Regional 89 43.95 44.39 99.01
STXB Spirit of Texas Bancshares, Inc. Banks - Regional 86 24.35 24.94 97.63
WAFD Washington Federal, Inc. Banks - Regional 83 35.12 35.44 99.1
OBNK Origin Bancorp, Inc. Banks - Regional 84 43.47 43.96 98.89
OZK Bank OZK Banks - Regional 87 44.09 44.83 98.35
MYO Myomo Inc. Medical Devices 92 11.78 12.76 92.32
PDLB PDL Community Bancorp Banks - Regional 87 14.74 14.80 99.59
SNV Synovus Financial Corp. Banks - Regional 83 45.6 46.02 99.09
CSTR CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. Banks - Regional 89 21.75 22.00 98.86
*These stocks were selected using our price breakout model. This model correctly selected CWH stocks that met or exceeded their breakout price with 80% probability over Jan. 2019 to Nov. 2020. This does not imply that on any one day, 80% or any of the stocks selected will meet or exceed their breakout price.
Top Rated Cup and Handle Stocks as of Friday October 08, 2021
Symbol BO
Price
BO
Vol.
Company Industry RS
Rank
Last
Close
CNSL 9.70 543,815 Consolidated Communications Holdings - Inc. Telecom Services 91 9.37
GOSS 14.09 806,601 Gossamer Bio - Inc. Biotechnology 88 12.57
PUMP 10.32 1,324,285 ProPetro Holding Corp. Oil & Gas Equipment & Services 88 9.96
WSR 10.26 818,852 Whitestone REIT REIT - Retail 84 9.84
INN 10.20 1,426,911 Summit Hotel Properties - Inc. REIT - Hotel & Motel 82 9.95
PBCT 18.26 4,936,920 People's United Financial - Inc. Banks - Regional 82 17.99
UE 19.44 1,006,377 Urban Edge Properties REIT - Diversified 81 18.52
These stocks meet our suggested screening factors for our Cup and Handle Chart Pattern watchlist.
See Revised Rules for Trading Cup and Handle Breakouts
Major Index Summary
Index Value Change Week Change YTD Trend1
Dow 34746.2
1.22% 13.53% Down
NASDAQ 14579.5
0.09% 13.12% Down
S&P 500 4391.34
0.79% 16.92% Down
1The Market Trend is derived from our proprietary market model. The market model is described on the site here.
2The site also shows industry rankings based on fundamentals, combined technical and fundamentals, and on price alone. The site also shows daily industry movements.
Best Performing Index
1 Week 13 Weeks 26 Weeks Year-to-Date
Dow Jones S&P 500
0.49
S&P 500
6.35
S&P 500
16.92
Best Performing Industry
1 Week 3 Weeks 13 Weeks 26 Weeks
Thermal Coal
REIT - Residential
Uranium
Shell Companies
Most Improved Industry (by change in technical rank2)
Aerospace & Defense
0
Aerospace & Defense
0
Aerospace & Defense
0
Aerospace & Defense
0
Charts of each industry rank and performance over 12 months are available on the site

 

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